The term “bust” may be overly harsh for some of the following players, who are overvalued based on ADP compared to my rankings. For my sleepers, go here.
Over the last two seasons, Bumgarner recorded a 2.48 ERA in pitcher-friendly San Francisco compared to a 5.16 ERA on the road. That’s oversimplifying it, and the humidor has made Chase Field less of a hitter’s park, but THE BAT projects a 4.68 ERA and Steamer projects 4.70, so it’s hard to understand why he’s being drafted as a top-35 SP (his expected ERA was 4.