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2019 Atlanta Braves player projections: starting pitchers

Hello, and welcome to the second (of four planned) parts of the 2019 Atlanta Braves player projection series. For a bunch of detail on what exactly we’re doing here, I suggest you look back at the position player post. Some pitcher-projection-specific FAQs are below, and then we’ll get into the the projections themselves.

Can you refresh me on the stats being analyzed?

For pitchers, this post focuses on only two stats, which to some extent are really only one stat: FIP- and fWAR. First, what is FIP-? FIP- is FIP, but similar to how wRC+ is wOBA — it’s scaled for park and league, and put on a basis where 100 is league average.