It was a mild upset, not a major one.
Toledo has a good football team. When last seen playing a complete game, the Rockets were beating Arkansas State 63-44 in the GoDaddy Bowl.
What Toledo isn't is an SEC team, and Saturday the Arkansas Razorbacks didn't play like one consistently enough, especially early, to get the victory.
Arkansas won the major statistical battles, but as always the ones that matter are the ones on the scoreboard. Saturday it read: Toledo 16, Arkansas 12.
The Razorbacks won't win many games with one visit to the end zone.