Looking at the history of first-year coaches around the country, few have great success in that initial year.
At the University of Arkansas there have been two exceptions since football became a major sport.
In 1977, Lou Holtz coached a team that had been 5-5-1 the previous season to 11-1 and a win in the Orange Bowl. In 1998, Houston Nutt took a 4-7 team the previous season and went 9-3.
So looking into a crystal ball, where do the Razorbacks seem headed? Maybe 2-10? Perhaps a little better, but their only win was against Eastern Illinois and that FCS team is 0-3.