Over at MLB Trade Rumors, Bradley Woodrum wrote an article attempting to predict what pitchers are most likely to require Tommy John surgery. Perhaps surprisingly, it was not one of our previous victims who tops the list among Diamondbacks.
The entire article is well worth a read, as much for the methodology as the final analysis. What Woodrum and colleague Tim Dierkes did, was to come up with a model using the various factors that history has shown appear to have a correlation with past Tommy John procedures. Given those factors, it's possible to look at the currently active players, and predict which ones have most "red flags".