Predictions can be quick and simple. Let’s look at Diamondbacks pitching in 2025 and predict runs allowed.
Starting point. Let’s assume that the Diamondbacks team will face same number of batters as last season.
Let’s divide the pitchers into two groups – the 12 with the most innings and the rest of the pitchers. That is meaningful because every season the 12 with the most innings have significantly less runs allowed per batter faced. Please keep in mind that the top 12 includes some (not all) starters and some relievers.
Baseline Runs Allowed.
Instead of a focus on ERAs and innings pitched, let’s focus on runs allowed per batter faced.