Bill Connelly invented all of this; check out his college football analytics blog, Football Study Hall.
But first, a little bit of well-deserved gloating.
As you know, prior to each week’s game we run a little series here called Processing the Numbers, in which I throw tables of metrics at you, blather on for several paragraphs about said numbers, and then pick Alabama to win because I’m a massive homer.[1] Those paragraphs tend to be peppered with predictions and “keys to the game” and the like, which are kind of hit or miss as game flow is difficult to project with just numbers.