The absence of Tua against Arkansas puts Alabama football at little risk of losing. The Razorbacks are a bad football team. The ESPN FPI gives the Crimson Tide a 98.9 percent chance of winning.
According to the FPI, the highest rated two-win team in the FBS is Tennessee at No. 44. Arkansas, like the Vols, is 2-5 and No. 81. The Tennessee rating is interesting because the Vols are above 6-win Wake Forest, 5-win teams, Navy, Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh and 4-win teams, Cal, Duke, Louisville, Nebraska, Boston College and North Carolina State. The FPI does not have much love for the ACC.