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Punting is winning — sort of.

I just published this over at my gambling website, because if there’s anything I love, it’s risk-taking, degeneracy, football, and statistics. (I began my academic life hustling with the nerds at Vandy trying to scrape out a PhD in psychometric statistics. Turns out you still have to see clients, and as I hate people, I dipped. But the stats love never went anywhere).

Anyway, the analysis is too interesting to not share with you folks. Call it “punting is winning” or “vindication of percentage football,” but for an average team, punting matters. Not as much as it does in the NFL, and not for CFB’s most talented teams, but it is nevertheless real.